Fiscal Case(2)
All pieces →Expenditure forecast for budget years 2026–2029, February 2026
Original title: Utgiftsprognos för budgetåren 2026–2029, februari 2026
Försäkringskassan's statutory expenditure forecast to the Swedish government (February 2026). Total spending on the agency's appropriations was SEK 247 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach 270 billion by 2029. For 2026, sickness benefit (sjukpenning) is forecast at SEK 45.1 billion and activity and sickness compensation (disability benefit) at SEK 41.3 billion.
Who receives sickness and activity compensation and how is the cost distributed?
Original title: Vem tar del av sjuk- och aktivitetsersättningen och hur fördelas kostnaden?
ISF report 2025:6 by Kristian Persson Kern, commissioned by the Swedish government, on how sickness and activity compensation redistributes income and risk between women and men and across income groups. Income-related payments have more than halved over 20 years; redistribution runs mainly from men to women and from high to low earners, but has decreased over time.
Business Case(1)
All pieces →Labour Market(3)
All pieces →Disability benefit 2003–2023 – a knowledge review (Social Insurance Report 2025:9)
Original title: Sjukersättning 2003–2023 – en kunskapssammanställning (Socialförsäkringsrapport 2025:9)
Försäkringskassan knowledge review (October 2025) of Sweden's disability benefit (sjukersättning) since its 2003 introduction. Recipients fell from just over 540,000 (9.8% of the working-age population) in 2005 to just over 220,000 (3.6%) in 2023; over half now have a psychiatric diagnosis, and very few leave the benefit to return to work.
The employment situation for disabled people in 2024
Original title: Situationen på arbetsmarknaden för personer med funktionsnedsättning 2024
Statistics Sweden's survey for 2024 shows that 53 per cent of people with disabilities (aged 16–65) are employed, compared with 80 per cent in the rest of the population. Among those with reduced work capacity, the proportion is 46 per cent. 33 per cent of people with disabilities have experienced discrimination or degrading treatment in working life.
The situation on the labour market for people with disabilities 2022
Original title: Situationen på arbetsmarknaden för personer med funktionsnedsättning 2022
Statistics Sweden estimates that about 669,000 people aged 16–64 have a disability. In 2022, 63% of them were in the labour force, compared with 88% of the rest of the population, and 52% were employed, compared with 81%. The most common form of perceived disability discrimination at work was not getting a job one applied for despite having sufficient qualifications. (Statistics Sweden, 2023)
Policy & Incentives(2)
All pieces →Alternative labour markets. Subsidised employment for persons with disabilities from the individuals' perspective
Original title: Alternativa arbetsmarknader. Subventionerade anställningar för personer med funktionsnedsättning ur individernas perspektiv
IFAU report 2026:8 by Ida Seing and Christian Ståhl (Linköping University) on Sweden's wage-subsidy (lönebidrag) and Samhall sheltered jobs, based on interviews with 26 employees. Subsidised jobs give economic, work and social security, but transitions to the open labour market feel uncertain. Context: employers received over SEK 11 billion in lönebidrag in 2023.
The Public Employment Service's support for persons with disabilities (RiR 2025:20)
Original title: Arbetsförmedlingens stöd till personer med funktionsnedsättning (RiR 2025:20)
Swedish National Audit Office report (June 2025) finding inefficiencies in the Public Employment Service's support for jobseekers with disabilities that reduce work capacity. One in ten registered jobseekers waits over three years to have their disability identified, half of those identified lack lasting support, and only three in ten receive special measures within two years; wage-subsidy hires have fallen significantly.